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Inspired Entertainment, Inc. (INSE)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 revenue rose 7% year over year to $80.3M, with strength in Interactive (+45% YoY) driving consolidated Adjusted EBITDA up 15% to $28.4M and margin expansion to 35% .
- GAAP results were weighed by an $8.8M tax expense; the company reported a net loss of $7.8M (−$0.27/share) versus net income of $1.4M ($0.05/share) in Q2 2024; Adjusted Net Loss was $5.6M (vs. Adjusted Net Income $5.2M a year ago) .
- Segment mix was favorable: Gaming EBITDA +35% YoY on Vantage cabinet rollouts and cost efficiencies; Interactive EBITDA +49% YoY with 67% margin; Virtual Sports improved sequentially; Leisure +26% EBITDA YoY aided by UK holiday timing .
- Balance sheet and liquidity improved via a comprehensive refinancing: £270M senior secured notes due 2030 (SONIA + 550–600 bps) and a new £17.8M RCF; management plans to swap to fixed and prioritize deleveraging, aided by the proposed Holiday Parks divestiture .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Interactive outperformance and scalability: revenue +45% YoY; Adjusted EBITDA +49% YoY; margin expanded ~200 bps to 67% in Q2, with momentum across North America and UK (“key growth engine…scalable, high-margin product”) .
- Gaming execution: segment Adjusted EBITDA +35% YoY on top-line growth, margin expansion, and the William Hill Vantage rollout delivering high single-digit revenue growth; Jenningsbet five-year deal for ~570 Vantage terminals starts Q4 2025 .
- Strategic refinancing and operational progress: £270M 2030 notes and £17.8M RCF completed; management expects a rate swap, step-downs as leverage falls, and liquidity tailwinds post Holiday Parks sale (agreement in principle; aiming to sign/close in coming months) .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP profitability: tax expense drove a $7.8M net loss (−$0.27/share) vs. $1.4M net income ($0.05/share) in Q2 2024; Adjusted Net Loss was $5.6M vs. $5.2M Adjusted Net Income a year ago .
- Virtual Sports still down YoY: revenue −21% YoY; segment Adjusted EBITDA −31% YoY, despite sequential improvement; management now expects YoY inflection more likely in Q4 than Q3 .
- Higher corporate costs and tax: corporate Adjusted EBITDA more negative YoY (−$7.8M vs. −$6.6M), and tax drove the bottom line; non-GAAP adjustments include ~$3.2M restructuring costs and FX effects .
Financial Results
Consolidated P&L and Profitability (oldest → newest)
Q2 2025 vs. Q2 2024
Segment Breakdown – Q2 2025 vs. Q2 2024
KPIs
Note on estimates: S&P Global consensus data for Q2 2025 EPS, Revenue, EBITDA, Target Price, and Recommendation were unavailable via our tool; therefore, explicit vs-consensus comparisons are not provided. Management stated EBITDA was “well ahead of consensus.”
Guidance Changes
No dividend guidance was discussed in Q2 materials .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Interactive remains a key growth engine… Interactive Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 67%… Hybrid Dealer continues to gain traction… initial indications… are encouraging” — Lorne Weil, Executive Chairman .
- “Gaming… Adjusted EBITDA increasing 35% year-over-year… roll out of our Vantage cabinets with William Hill… delivering high single-digit revenue growth… operational initiatives… improving the segment’s margin profile” — Lorne Weil .
- “Virtual Sports saw sequential growth… localized content… in Brazil… expanded… William Hill… ~300 new daily events… launches underway in Turkey and North America” — Lorne Weil .
- “We refinanced… prior to June… arranging a swap… lowering our effective rate… step down opportunities to lower our spread as we deleverage… agreement in principle [to sell] Holiday Park” — Lorne Weil .
- “Q2 saw our eighth consecutive quarter of more than 40% year over year adjusted EBITDA growth [in Interactive]… margin… 67%… considerable room for further growth” — Brooks Pierce, CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Hybrid Dealer traction: Mix of Tier-1 and Tier-2 customers (via aggregators Relax, Games Global); roulette and wheel games performing; four-ball roulette underperforming expectations; more innovation coming (e.g., FanDuel bespoke game in September) .
- Virtual Sports inflection: Sequential improvement; YoY inflection more likely Q4 than Q3 given product timing and Brazil rollout cadence .
- Gaming growth drivers: Vantage cabinet performance across markets; Illinois replacement cycle early; Canada provincial sales; potential Brazil machine market opportunity .
- Capital allocation priorities: Fund growth (capital-light), deleveraging first (spread step-downs), then consider buybacks; plan to swap floating to fixed .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates for Q2 2025 EPS, Revenue, EBITDA, Target Price, and Recommendation were unavailable via our tool at the time of analysis; as a result, we cannot quantify beats/misses versus consensus. Management stated Q2 EBITDA was “well ahead of consensus” on the call .
- Given Interactive outperformance and Gaming margin expansion (YoY), upward estimate revisions for Interactive and Gaming profitability appear likely; Virtual Sports revisions may depend on Q4 inflection execution and Brazil/operator additions .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Digital mix expanding: Interactive continues to deliver outsized growth and 60–70%+ margins, with Hybrid Dealer scaling across Tier-1 and regional operators—supportive of multiple expansion and higher FCF conversion .
- Deleveraging underway: The June refinancing extends maturities and positions the company to reduce interest costs via swaps and spread step-downs as leverage falls; completing the Holiday Parks sale should accelerate the path to targeted 40%+ EBITDA margins .
- Gaming execution durable: Vantage cabinets are lifting revenue for key UK partners and are being rolled out in Greece and North America; Illinois replacement cycle offers multi-year runway .
- Virtual Sports is turning the corner sequentially, but YoY growth likely shifts to Q4; watch Brazil rollouts (localized products, additional operators) and North America (lottery, BetMGM) for confirmation .
- Non-GAAP adjustments matter: Q2 Adjusted Net Loss ($5.6M) was materially better than GAAP (−$7.8M) driven by restructuring, FX, and restatement-related items; investors should monitor the pace of normalization as one-offs fade .
- Near-term trading setup: Positive narratives around Interactive/Hybrid Dealer momentum, Jenningsbet award, and refinancing/deleveraging may support the stock; timing risk around Virtual Sports inflection and tax expense impacts are the main offsets .
- Medium-term thesis: Mix shift to high-margin digital, capital-light growth, and deleveraging support structural FCF improvement and margin expansion above 40% post Leisure actions .
Additional Reference Data
- Cash from operations improved materially in 1H25: $40.7M vs. $3.6M in 1H24; cash ended Q2 at $46.3M (vs. $29.3M at YE24) .
- Pro forma business development in/around Q2: Loto‑Québec branded Hybrid Dealer roulette launch; BetMGM exclusive Hybrid Dealer 4‑Ball roulette in the U.S.; Brazil V‑Play Football (Betano), with broader LatAm initiatives .
Note on estimates: S&P Global consensus values for Q2 2025 were unavailable via our tool at the time of analysis.